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Shavermetrics Predicts the 1990 Season

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  • #16
    Something is bound to go wrong in Denver.

    First year my owner feeds my inbox with expectations for a third straight playoff appearance.

    First year Shavermetics predicts Denver does better than crap.

    Concern. Fear. Me.
    Denver Bulls

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    • #17
      Can Shavermetrics produce an expected win total by team?
      Philly Freedom
      Owner & GM: 1987 - Pres.
      Porter Div. Champs (Mbr '84-'15): 1984, 1985, 1988, 1990, 1991, 2002, 2004, 2010, 2011
      Stout Div. Champs (Mbr '78-'83 & '16-present): 2016, 2017
      IL Wild Card Winner: 1987, 2013, 2018, 2019
      Import League Champs: 1984, 2010, 2017

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      • #18
        Just saw the image/logo. Well done Shaver.

        Wilmington Wildcats- 2057-
        Seattle Pilots- 2017-2041
        Washington Bats - 1979-2013

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        • #19
          The excitement builds in Batavia! Look for our new jerseys to appear in BLB stores around the country this weekend as well.

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          • #20
            Originally posted by MattG View Post
            The excitement builds in Batavia! Look for our new jerseys to appear in BLB stores around the country this weekend as well.
            I'm a fan. I received my season tickets this week. I'm looking for good things out of this thing. Don't let us down!
            Philly Freedom
            Owner & GM: 1987 - Pres.
            Porter Div. Champs (Mbr '84-'15): 1984, 1985, 1988, 1990, 1991, 2002, 2004, 2010, 2011
            Stout Div. Champs (Mbr '78-'83 & '16-present): 2016, 2017
            IL Wild Card Winner: 1987, 2013, 2018, 2019
            Import League Champs: 1984, 2010, 2017

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            • #21
              Yay! On paper we won the Lager! Too bad we have to actually play out the season.

              I'm afraid the Gamblers' time has come. The post-Guardamagni era will most likely get off to a rough start. I think we're headed for full-blown rebuilding mode next season. Depending on where we are at the end of June, the process could start before the trade deadline. Haven't looked at the draft pool yet. That could impact my decision too.

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              • #22
                Always fun to look back.
                Wilmington Wildcats- 2057-
                Seattle Pilots- 2017-2041
                Washington Bats - 1979-2013

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                • #23
                  The beginning of this thread is true Clay gold. Every time we hit a road bump as a league, think how far we have come.
                  Death Valley Scorpions (2003-Present)
                  Division Champs '05 '07 '08 '11 '13 '14 '15 '16 '19
                  IL WC '09 '10 '12 '17

                  IL Champs '13 '16 '19
                  Stout Slugger '08 (Jones) '15 (McCarley)
                  Last Call '08 (Manning)
                  New Brew '08 (Pulido)
                  Desert Legends
                  #33 Danny Salcedo ('15) #30 Colin Cash ('16) #32 Brendan Lindsey ('17)



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                  • #24
                    huh?
                    CAROLINA TOBS

                    Bock Division Champs - '99, '01, '10, '11, '12, '13

                    Brewmasters - '11

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                    • #25
                      Originally posted by umd View Post
                      The beginning of this thread is true Clay gold. Every time we hit a road bump as a league, think how far we have come.
                      Couldnt see the link.
                      PAWTUCKET PATRIOTS
                      Brewmaster's Cup Champions 2010, 2013, 2014, 2016
                      DL Champions 91, 03, 04, 10, 13, 14**,16,17
                      Ale Champions 92, 93, 94, 02, 03, 04, 10, 11, 13, 14**, 16, 17, 18
                      Wildcard 91, 95, 12


                      ** Partial credit. Ran in Expo mode.

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                      • #26
                        Originally posted by fsquid View Post
                        huh?
                        Link doesn't work, but these quotes are awesome. Like he had some detailed statistical spreadsheet model or something...

                        Originally posted by Clay View Post
                        Thought about it, but the problem is the whole equation kind of goes out the window once the injuries and trades start happening. I'm sure people will bring them up all year as things go down.

                        Believe me... my PERSONAL opinions different greatly from the Shavermetrics, but I just post what the numbers say.

                        For example, my PERSONAL feeling is that both Batavia and Wilmington are closer to a Playoff spot than the numbers might show. Conversely, I also think California potentially misses the playoffs. More of a blind gut feeling than anything. I'll put some of these TYPES of things in the Bold Predictions thread, because they're more just me.
                        Originally posted by Clay View Post
                        Well, yes and no... I don't go straight by the numbers because Shavermetrics also factors in playoff upsets which almost always happen.
                        when all he was doing was using commish mode to cheat by looking at everyone and everything and simming future seasons without anyone knowing and seeing who the game thought was going to be good and what players were going to do well and who he could trade for or kill with edited ratings and injuries.

                        What a fraud. I love when the bots are reading these random threads and I click on them...
                        I think this was his first full season as commish. It was my first full season as a GM.
                        Death Valley Scorpions (2003-Present)
                        Division Champs '05 '07 '08 '11 '13 '14 '15 '16 '19
                        IL WC '09 '10 '12 '17

                        IL Champs '13 '16 '19
                        Stout Slugger '08 (Jones) '15 (McCarley)
                        Last Call '08 (Manning)
                        New Brew '08 (Pulido)
                        Desert Legends
                        #33 Danny Salcedo ('15) #30 Colin Cash ('16) #32 Brendan Lindsey ('17)



                        Comment

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