A Look Back at the 2015 Draft
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With that in mind, let’s take a look five years in the past and see how the 2015 Draft has panned out.
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First Five Picks
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The Canadians traded up to #1 to select Robby O’Neal, a catcher from Morton West High School.“Old Nick” didn’t seem to have a position in the field, but the bat looked like a sure thing. Five years later, the jury is still out on O’Neal’s BLB future.Despite extensive playing time behind the plate, he still can’t seem to handle the position.At the plate, he’s had some success in the minors but certainly isn’t a star.Scouts around the league still believe he has talent, but it’s time for it all to come together if this pick is going to be a success.
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New York moved down one spot, picked up a couple of extra picks and a minor league pitcher, and selected SP Dave Kauffman out of the University of Arizona. “Frankenstein” was regarded as the top prospect in the draft by several observers and was a fixture in the top 10 of the Prospects list from the moment he was selected. The towering (6’7”) righty had a strong sophomore season in 2019, finishing with a 2.81 ERA, 3.01 FIP and 3.7 WAR in 28 starts. Kauffman is the highest ranked player in this draft class – he’s the #14 pitcher in the BLB.
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Toronto continued to be active, acquiring the third overall pick (as well as an awful contract) from Hartford in exchange for SP Jonathan Marrujo. With the selection, the team grabbed Jimmy Bires, one of the hardest throwers in the draft. Featuring a fastball that touch 98 on the gun, “Whistler” had been a strikeout machine at Oklahoma State and looked like a potential ace. Considered a top 5 prospect in the BLB at times in his career, it has been a rocky road to the BLB for Bires. He took all of 2016 off to chase his dream of professional football before returning to Toronto. Five years after he was picked, Bires still struggles with his control and is currently in AAA.With top-notch stuff and movement, he could still be a factor for Toronto, but he has to find the strike zone more consistently.
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A third consecutive college pitcher came off the board with the fourth pick, as Los Alamos selected Jaime Stone. So far, the Bandits/Amigos have to be thrilled with this pick. Only 24 years old, Stone is currently the youngest pitcher on the top players list, where he checks in as the #18 pitcher in the BLB. The 6’5” lefty has already won 29 games in his BLB career and his 2019 season (11-10, 2.45 ERA, 5.4 WAR) saw him receive a couple of second place votes for IL Pale Ale Pitcher. We’re only 3 starts into the 2020 season, but he looks better than ever so far (2-0, 1.71 ERA). <o:p></o:p>
The run on pitchers continued at pick #5 when Windy City took Aidan Johnson. Like most high school players, Johnson had a long way to go to reach the majors, but the talent was there – he was the 2015 HS Outstanding Pitcher. At 17, Johnson already had good velocity, with a fastball that was consistently 92-94 MPH and kept the ball on the ground.After spending over three seasons in single A Janesville, the top 50 prospect has moved quickly in the past couple of seasons. Johnson started just one game for AAA Des Plaines before injuries ended his 2019 campaign. Despite the setback, he made the Opening Day roster for the Blues and is working well out of the bullpen in his first BLB action.
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Notable Others
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1.9 – Ian “Extreme” Lofink may have fallen in the draft due to character concerns, but his low work ethic and intelligence certainly haven’t held him back since Dallas picked him 9<SUP>th</SUP> overall. He made it to the majors quickly, debuting in 2017 and has been a solid piece of a winning Sharks team since coming up. With a 28-16 record, 3.00 ERA and 8.3 WAR, Lofink currently rates #1 in WAR amongst pitchers selected in this draft.<o:p></o:p>
1.6 – Wilmington may have ended up with the best hitter in this draft when Robby Sisson fell to #6. A high school prospect, Sisson took four years to make it to the BLB, but he burst onto the scene in style, capturing the 2019 DL New Brew award.
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1.10 – With the 10<SUP>th</SUP> pick, the Tobs selected Erik Upton. He made his BLB debut in 2018 and is the top player by WAR selected in 2015.Upton has won back to back DWI awards in left field and should be a key part in Carolina’s rebuilding process.
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2.10 – So far, it doesn’t look like there was much to choose from outside of the 1<SUP>st</SUP> round, but Windy City’s Dave Tressler has had a solid start to his career. He’s been a regular in the Blues lineup since midway through the 2017 season, posting a .267 average and amassing 6.2 WAR, the highest amongst players chosen after Upton went at 10<SUP>th</SUP> overall.
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2.13 – The highest rated prospect of those still on the list, Dave Koehler came off the board midway through the second round. The pick was originally part of the deal that saw Pat Verba head to New Orleans and Ed Carroll go to DC, and the Bats may have gotten a steal. Koehler had a fastball in the lower 90s at Central High, but now reaches triple digits on the radar gun and has started 2020 in the Washington rotation.
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10.12 – It’s extremely rare to find anything of value in the 10<SUP>th</SUP> round, but Morgantown might have found a hidden gem in Fred Newkirk. There may have been 227 names called before his, but Newkirk is slick with the glove and has parlayed that defensive ability into a spot on the Top 100 Prospects list, currently sitting at #83.
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Summary
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It’s still a bit early, but it doesn’t yet appear that the 2015 draft will go down in BLB history as a great draft. There’s a notable lack of hitting talent at the top of the board and depth doesn’t appear to be a strength for this class. Seven of the first nine selections were pitchers, and guys like Kauffman, Stone and Lofink could be perennial All-Star contenders going forward. Sticking with that theme, 7 of the 9 draftees still maintaining top 100 Prospect status are pitchers. There’s some talent here, but this draft class has not impacted the league to the degree that other recent drafts have. That’s consistent with the thought at the time of the draft.Our 2015 draft thread is one of the least active that we’ve had, with many GMs commenting on the perceived weakness of this class. Five years later, that appears to be the case.
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So, how did everyone do? <o:p></o:p>
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Top Ten Players by WAR<o:p></o:p>
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Rnd<o:p></o:p>
Pick<o:p></o:p>
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Pos<o:p></o:p>
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WAR<o:p></o:p>
1<o:p></o:p>
10<o:p></o:p>
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LF<o:p></o:p>
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8.5<o:p></o:p>
1<o:p></o:p>
9<o:p></o:p>
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P<o:p></o:p>
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8.3<o:p></o:p>
1<o:p></o:p>
4<o:p></o:p>
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P<o:p></o:p>
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8.1<o:p></o:p>
2<o:p></o:p>
10<o:p></o:p>
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SS<o:p></o:p>
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6.2<o:p></o:p>
1<o:p></o:p>
16<o:p></o:p>
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RF<o:p></o:p>
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6<o:p></o:p>
1<o:p></o:p>
2<o:p></o:p>
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P<o:p></o:p>
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4.9<o:p></o:p>
1<o:p></o:p>
6<o:p></o:p>
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3B<o:p></o:p>
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4.4<o:p></o:p>
1<o:p></o:p>
12<o:p></o:p>
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3B<o:p></o:p>
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3.7<o:p></o:p>
1<o:p></o:p>
23<o:p></o:p>
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P<o:p></o:p>
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3<o:p></o:p>
Still Top 100 Prospects<o:p></o:p>
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Rnd<o:p></o:p>
Pick<o:p></o:p>
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Pos<o:p></o:p>
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Pros. Rank<o:p></o:p>
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13<o:p></o:p>
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P<o:p></o:p>
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6<o:p></o:p>
1<o:p></o:p>
7<o:p></o:p>
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P<o:p></o:p>
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15<o:p></o:p>
1<o:p></o:p>
5<o:p></o:p>
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P<o:p></o:p>
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32<o:p></o:p>
1<o:p></o:p>
21<o:p></o:p>
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3B<o:p></o:p>
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34<o:p></o:p>
1<o:p></o:p>
20<o:p></o:p>
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P<o:p></o:p>
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36<o:p></o:p>
3<o:p></o:p>
18<o:p></o:p>
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P<o:p></o:p>
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56<o:p></o:p>
2<o:p></o:p>
16<o:p></o:p>
</TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 15pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 23pt; BACKGROUND: whitesmoke; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0in; PADDING-TOP: 0in; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=31 noWrap>
P<o:p></o:p>
</TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 15pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 57pt; BACKGROUND: whitesmoke; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0in; PADDING-TOP: 0in; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=76 noWrap>
72<o:p></o:p>
10<o:p></o:p>
12<o:p></o:p>
</TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 15pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 23pt; BACKGROUND: whitesmoke; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0in; PADDING-TOP: 0in; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=31 noWrap>
SS<o:p></o:p>
</TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 15pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 57pt; BACKGROUND: whitesmoke; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0in; PADDING-TOP: 0in; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=76 noWrap>
83<o:p></o:p>
3<o:p></o:p>
2<o:p></o:p>
</TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 15.75pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 23pt; BACKGROUND: whitesmoke; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0in; PADDING-TOP: 0in; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=31 noWrap>
P<o:p></o:p>
</TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 15.75pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 57pt; BACKGROUND: whitesmoke; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0in; PADDING-TOP: 0in; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=76 noWrap>
91<o:p></o:p>
WAR (by draft team)
Spoiler
Comment