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Right now, the 500 Home Run Club is as follows:
572 — Dani Alvarez (1983-2001)
561 — Mel Woodbury (1980-1998)
555 — Rex Knight (1986-2005)
The active leaders (and their ages) are:
490 — Hector Feliciano (38)
453 — T.J. Dunn (36)
413 — Jon Montalbo (40)
398 — Voodoo Davila (35)
...
360 — Pat St. Thomas (34)
340 — Steve Suarez (39)
...
334 — Ethan Bafford (32)
(The ellipses indicate there are unsigned/washed up near-40-year-olds in that range.)
Feliciano needs only ten more, but it's not looking like he's going to get there, as he's 1 for 9 (with no home runs) in Denver this year and hasn't appeared in a game in six weeks. Maybe he has a chance if someone lets him play full-time. I don't see it happening.
47 home runs for Dunn looks likely, though there's still a lot that can go wrong for someone on the trade block and who hits free agency this offseason while turning 37 years of age.
Montalbo is old and unsigned. He won't get there. I only named him because he's over the 400 mark.
Davila will hit his 400th home run soon, as he's only two away from that mark. His current pace for this year would take him to about 410 homers. He's been good for 30 a year for a while, so if he could keep up that pace for another three years, he'd get there. It might depend on how much someone like me is willing to try to get him the at-bats to get there even when his performance is only a shadow of what it used to be.
St. Thomas was struggling this year before his major injury. Five years of 30 home runs a year would get him there. Probably a stretch.
Bafford might have the best chance of anyone here, though his longstanding durability concerns won't make it easy. It's tempting to bet on him making it, but we also need to remember he hit his 300th less than a calendar year ago, at age 31. This one is a tough call.
Stu Stark is at 189 career home runs at age 29. He's on a hell of a power surge right now, so he might get there. But ... it's a long way to go. Stark is awesome and he also wouldn't be the first slugger to have a run of 45-50 home run seasons before tapping out in his early 30s (Villarroel, Negron, Monson, etc.). So he's the main guy to watch for sure.
I thought I'd put this together as food for thought.
The 500 Home Run Club in the BLB is exclusive indeed.
572 — Dani Alvarez (1983-2001)
561 — Mel Woodbury (1980-1998)
555 — Rex Knight (1986-2005)
The active leaders (and their ages) are:
490 — Hector Feliciano (38)
453 — T.J. Dunn (36)
413 — Jon Montalbo (40)
398 — Voodoo Davila (35)
...
360 — Pat St. Thomas (34)
340 — Steve Suarez (39)
...
334 — Ethan Bafford (32)
(The ellipses indicate there are unsigned/washed up near-40-year-olds in that range.)
Feliciano needs only ten more, but it's not looking like he's going to get there, as he's 1 for 9 (with no home runs) in Denver this year and hasn't appeared in a game in six weeks. Maybe he has a chance if someone lets him play full-time. I don't see it happening.
47 home runs for Dunn looks likely, though there's still a lot that can go wrong for someone on the trade block and who hits free agency this offseason while turning 37 years of age.
Montalbo is old and unsigned. He won't get there. I only named him because he's over the 400 mark.
Davila will hit his 400th home run soon, as he's only two away from that mark. His current pace for this year would take him to about 410 homers. He's been good for 30 a year for a while, so if he could keep up that pace for another three years, he'd get there. It might depend on how much someone like me is willing to try to get him the at-bats to get there even when his performance is only a shadow of what it used to be.
St. Thomas was struggling this year before his major injury. Five years of 30 home runs a year would get him there. Probably a stretch.
Bafford might have the best chance of anyone here, though his longstanding durability concerns won't make it easy. It's tempting to bet on him making it, but we also need to remember he hit his 300th less than a calendar year ago, at age 31. This one is a tough call.
Stu Stark is at 189 career home runs at age 29. He's on a hell of a power surge right now, so he might get there. But ... it's a long way to go. Stark is awesome and he also wouldn't be the first slugger to have a run of 45-50 home run seasons before tapping out in his early 30s (Villarroel, Negron, Monson, etc.). So he's the main guy to watch for sure.
I thought I'd put this together as food for thought.
The 500 Home Run Club in the BLB is exclusive indeed.
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